the.com/drake equation
a formula for guessing how many aliens are out there, using numbers nobody actually has.
means an equation multiplying seven factors, from star formation rate to civilization lifespan, to estimate the number of communicative alien civilizations in the galaxy.
from frank drake wrote it in 1961 to structure the agenda for the first seria search for extraterrestrial intelligence meeting in green bank, west virginia, never intending it as a rigorous prediction.
variable countseven factors multiplied together
biggest wildcardfraction of civilizations that actually communicate
real purposeorganize ignorance, not calculate an answer
result rangeestimates span from zero to millions