the.com/futures

the only contract where you bet on a thing you'll never touch.

means Financial contracts obligating you to buy or sell an asset at a set price on a future date, traded on exchanges and used for hedging or speculation.

from From the Latin futurus, 'about to be,' the future participle of esse, 'to be' — the same root behind 'future' itself. The financial sense grew from 'future delivery' contracts, where the goods (grain, cattle, oil) change hands later, not now; over time traders clipped the phrase down to just 'futures,' a plural noun for promises about tomorrow. The standardized exchange-traded version is often traced to 19th-century commodity markets like Chicago's grain pits, though informal forward agreements are far older.

origin
Rice traders in 1700s Japan invented modern futures markets
the catch
Most contracts settle in cash, not actual goods
famous fail
Trader once nearly took delivery of millions of oranges
oil shock
Crude futures went negative in April 2020
the leverage
Tiny margin controls enormous positions, magnifying gains and ruin
for instance

chicago mercantile exchange — largest futures exchange in the world, founded 1898, trades agricultural and financial contracts

iceman cometh — o'neill play 1946, title refers to hickey's prediction about the future arriving

back to the future — 1985 film where marty mcfly travels to 2015, the iconic futures-focused movie

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