Nassim Taleb, author of The Black Swan, is warning of imminent software bankruptcies, stock market reversals, and potential decade-long economic chaos from geopolitical shocks. He's applying his theories on fragility and antifragility to current events ranging from Iran tensions to infrastructure policy.
·Taleb predicts recent stock gains will be erased and software companies face bankruptcy waves
·He warns fat-tail risks from Iran conflict could transform oil price spikes into prolonged economic chaos
·Taleb frames the Trump White House itself as a black swan event with unpredictable consequences
·He's applying antifragility concepts to Ukraine's survival under stress and systemic resilience
·Taleb critiques modern urban policy, arguing bike lanes exemplify economic mismanagement
drawn from Business Insider, Bloomberg.com, Quillette, Yahoo Finance · updated 7d ago